Filling out a March Madness bracket now feels as outdated as using a flip phone at a tech expo. By 2026, the NCAA tournament will focus more on perfectly timed wagers than on perfect picks. Analysts project $3.3 billion** in legal bets on this year’s tournament, with total betting likely far exceeding that figure.
Oddsmakers say bettors aren’t just backing favorites, they’re chasing the chaos. Underdog wagering, particularly in the early rounds, has become a kind of financial sport within the sport. The long-standing intrigue of Cinderella teams has turned into a calculated gamble, with bettors targeting underdogs on moneylines and futures for higher payouts.
Today, it seems the modern bettor is less interested in being right 63 times and more interested in being right just often enough. And as one oddsmaker recently noted in coverage of tournament trends, College Basketball betting now extends far “beyond brackets,” with bettors often exploring online point spreads, props, and live in-game odds.
College Basketball Futures
For bettors willing to think long-term, online March Madness sportsbooks that offer futures have become a centerpiece of the wagering environment. These bets, placed on outcomes such as a team winning the national championship, reaching the Final Four, or capturing a specific region, are often wagered on for the chance of big payouts.
Unlike single-game wagers, futures bets reward timing as much as insight. Odds fluctuate dramatically throughout the tournament, meaning a well-timed wager on a mid-tier contender before a breakout performance can yield outsized returns.
Below are some futures currently offered at Bovada’s sportsbook for the 2026 tournament.
2026 NCAA DI Men’s Basketball Tournament – National Champion*
- Michigan (#1) +360
- Duke (#1) +375
- Arizona (#1) +400
- Florida (#1) +850^
- Houston (#2) +1100
- Iowa State (#2) +1800
- Purdue (#2) +2000
- Illinois (#3) +2200
- Connecticut (#2) +3000
- Gonzaga (#3) +4500
- Michigan State (#3) +5500
^2025 March Madness champion
2026 NCAA DI Men’s Basketball Tournament – To Make the Elite 8*
- Michigan (#1) -300
- Arizona (#1) -250
- Duke (#1) -250
- Florida (#1) -165
- Houston (#2) -110
- Iowa State (#2) -110
- Purdue (#2) +105
- Connecticut (#2) +140
- Illinois (#3) +140
- Gonzaga (#3) +200
- Michigan State (#3) +210
- Virginia (#3) +310
Game Lines & Live Betting
Futures require patience, but game lines offer immediate results. Point spreads, totals, and moneylines provide many betting options with each matchup.
Point spread betting remains the most common entry point. Totals betting, the over/under on combined points, has also surged in popularity. Then there’s the moneylines, where simplicity reigns: pick the winner, no spread attached. This is where upset bettors thrive, backing underdogs outright in hopes of capitalizing on inflated odds.
Live betting (also called in-game wagering) adds yet another layer. As games unfold, odds shift possession by possession, allowing bettors to react to momentum swings, foul trouble, or unexpected performances. In a tournament known for dramatic comebacks, in-game wagering has turned every second half into a new market entirely.
Below are the current game lines for several of the first competitions held March 18-20th.
TCU (#9) vs. Ohio State (#8)*
- Spread: TCU +2.5 (-110) / Ohio State -2.5 (-110)
- Win: TCU +125 / Ohio State -145
- Total: O146.0 (-110) / U146.0 (-110)
Troy (#13) vs. Nebraska (#4)*
- Spread: Troy +13.0 (-110) / Nebraska -13.0 (-110)
- Win: Troy +625 / Nebraska -1000
- Total: O137.5 (-110) / U137.5 (-110)
South Florida (#11) vs. Louisville (#6)*
- Spread: USF +5.0 (-115) / Louisville -5.0 (-105)
- Win: USF +175 / Louisville -210
- Total: O165.0 (-110) / U165.0 (-110)
High Point (#12) vs. Wisconsin (#5)*
- Spread: High Point +10.0 (-110) / Wisconsin -10.0 (-110)
- Win: High Point +355 / Wisconsin -490
- Total: O164.5 (-115) / U164.5 (-105)
Siena (#16) vs. Duke (#1)*
- Spread: Siena +28.5 (-120) / Duke -28.5 (EVEN)
- Win: Siena +1700 / Duke -20000
- Total: O135.5 (-110) / U135.5 (-110)
McNeese State (#12) vs. Vanderbilt (#5)*
- Spread: McNeese +11.5 (-110) / Vanderbilt -11.5 (-110)
- Win: McNeese +475 / Vanderbilt -700
- Total: O150.5 (-110) / U150.5 (-110)
North Dakota State (#14) vs. Michigan State (#3)*
- Spread: NDSU +16.0 (-105) / MSU -16.0 (-115)
- Win: NDSU +800 / MSU -1600
- Total: O143.5 (-110) / U143.5 (-110)
Hawaii (#13) vs. Arkansas (#4)*
- Spread: Hawaii +15.5 (-115) / Arkansas -15.5 (-105)
- Win: Hawaii +725 / Arkansas -1300
- Total: O160.0 (-110) / U160.0 (-110)
VCU (#11) vs. North Carolina (#6)*
- Spread: VCU +2.5 (-105) / UNC -2.5 (-115)
- Win: VCU +130 / UNC -150
- Total: O153.5 (-105) / U153.5 (-115)
Howard (#16) vs. Michigan (#1)*
- Spread: Howard +31.5 (-110) / Michigan -31.5 (-110)
- Total: O151.5 (-110) / U151.5 (-110)
Sources:
*Odds via Bovada
